I've been anticipating a 7 to 10 percent correction over the next few months. |
In the industrial machinery area I've noticed Ingersoll-Rand has really created a wonderful base and demand is breaking it out, |
Investors tend to move ahead of what the Fed actually does. And so like in the bond market in 1994, it was already rallying in November of '94 ... (when) the last move didn't come until after the turn of the year. So investors do tend to anticipate and move ahead of the action. |
it's a company that`s remaking itself. It had been in the CD-ROM business and it's two years ahead of its competition in developing storage devices. |
Over the past 50 years, the average gain in the stock market has been roughly 16 percent a year. That, considering where we closed at the end of 1995, would put us just under 6,000. Those are big numbers, but on a percentage basis they're within the scope of a bull market. |
Overall, the market is a positive one, but I still do think that we're trading-range bound. |
That's based on the fact that we seem to have set a volume peak in January and a breadth peak in February, |
The advantage is that the study of the markets removes emotion from the decision, ... It is just a pure study of what's taking place. |
The concern about earnings has resurfaced a number of times, |
The concern about earnings has resurfaced a number of times. |
The fact that we were only down 20 points after the inordinate gain yesterday was pretty impressive. |
The momentum has been reversed from the upside to the downside, and so they are capitalized on that by shorting stocks that had been popular -- the aggressive growth stocks |
The realization now is that the economy really is starting to slow down. And we've had figures from certain industries that would indicate that. And so therefore, investors are trying to put their money where gains in growth and earnings will take place, even in a slower economy. The areas that I think have been benefiting, and I think will continue to benefit, are the financial and health care sectors because that has been a traditional growth area. But not at the percentage gains that some of the technology companies have experienced. |
The semiconductors: Applied Materials is sort of like a kingpin for that whole industry -- and their earnings. It's going to be very interesting to watch the reaction. Semiconductors actually reached their highs in March. They sold off, and set lower highs in June-July. It's critical that they get through those June-July highs. And so we're going to have to watch them to make sure. They're right now at the lower part of their trading ranges. It's important to watch what happens now, |
The semiconductors: Applied Materials is sort of like a kingpin for that whole industry -- and their earnings. It's going to be very interesting to watch the reaction. Semiconductors actually reached their highs in March. They sold off, and set lower highs in June-July. It's critical that they get through those June-July highs. And so we're going to have to watch them to make sure. They're right now at the lower part of their trading ranges. It's important to watch what happens now. |